Skip to content
Saturday 15 September 2018, 17:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
44% 24% 32%
Home win
43.6%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
32.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 43.6% 2.29
Draw 24.3% 4.11
Leicester 32.1% 3.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.91
Over 1.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.1% 6.21
Over 2.5 62.7% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.3% 2.68
Over 3.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 3.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.5% 4.44
Under 4.5 77.5% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.4% 1.55
No 35.6% 2.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 67.9% 1.47
Bournemouth / Leicester 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Leicester 56.4% 1.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
5.2
4.3
2.1
0.8
0.2
1
6.3
10.9
7.6
3.7
1.4
0.4
2
6.1
9.0
6.6
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.5
5.2
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.5
2.3
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.