Saturday 22 September 2018, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
41%
30%
28%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
28.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Newcastle | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.6
|
14.0
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.2
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Crystal Palace
2-1
Newcastle
Jan 2026
Newcastle
2-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Newcastle
5-0
Crystal Palace
Nov 2024
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Apr 2024
Crystal Palace
2-0
Newcastle
Oct 2023
Newcastle
4-0
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.