Saturday 27 October 2018, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
37%
33%
30%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
30.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.1% | 7.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Southampton / Newcastle | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
12.2
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
14.3
|
6.1
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
7.0
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Southampton
1-3
Newcastle
Aug 2024
Newcastle
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2022
Southampton
1-4
Newcastle
Mar 2022
Southampton
1-2
Newcastle
Aug 2021
Newcastle
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.