Saturday 20 October 2018, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
45%
31%
24%
Home win
44.5%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
24.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Brighton | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.6% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.4% | 18.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| No | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Brighton | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
10.0
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
13.8
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Newcastle
3-1
Brighton
Oct 2025
Brighton
2-1
Newcastle
May 2025
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Oct 2024
Newcastle
0-1
Brighton
May 2024
Newcastle
1-1
Brighton
Sep 2023
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.