Saturday 6 October 2018, 19:30
Old Trafford
Full time
61%
26%
13%
Home win
61.4%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
12.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 12.7% | 7.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Newcastle | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.5
|
11.2
|
3.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
8.4
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Newcastle
2-1
Manchester United
Dec 2025
Manchester United
1-0
Newcastle
Apr 2025
Newcastle
4-1
Manchester United
Dec 2024
Manchester United
0-2
Newcastle
May 2024
Manchester United
3-2
Newcastle
Dec 2023
Newcastle
1-0
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.