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Saturday 29 September 2018, 14:30 London Stadium Full time
20% 26% 54%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
53.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 20.5% 4.88
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Manchester United 53.5% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.94
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.75
Over 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.47
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.4% 2.03
No 50.6% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 46.5% 2.15
West Ham / Manchester United 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Manchester United 79.5% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
11.9
10.3
5.7
2.3
0.8
1
6.4
12.4
9.6
5.2
2.2
0.7
2
3.3
5.4
4.4
2.4
1.0
0.3
3
1.0
1.7
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.