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Saturday 25 August 2018, 17:00 Emirates Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
73% 16% 11%
Home win
72.7%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 72.7% 1.38
Draw 15.9% 6.28
West Ham 11.4% 8.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 37.78
Over 1.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.4% 9.59
Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 2.5 27.0% 3.70
Over 3.5 52.5% 1.91
Under 3.5 47.5% 2.10
Over 4.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 4.5 67.0% 1.49

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.0% 1.64
No 39.0% 2.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 88.6% 1.13
Arsenal / West Ham 84.1% 1.19
Draw / West Ham 27.3% 3.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
2.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
5.8
6.9
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
8.5
8.9
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.8
8.1
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
5.4
5.6
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
2.9
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.