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Sunday 16 September 2018, 18:00 Goodison Park Full time
1–3
HT 1–2
57% 23% 20%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
20.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 56.5% 1.77
Draw 23.0% 4.35
West Ham 20.5% 4.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.96
Over 1.5 81.6% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.4% 5.44
Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 3.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 3.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.6% 5.11
Under 4.5 80.4% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.1% 1.72
No 41.9% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 79.5% 1.26
Everton / West Ham 77.0% 1.30
Draw / West Ham 43.5% 2.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
4.6
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
8.5
10.7
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.8
6.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.9
3.2
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.1
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.