Skip to content
Sunday 23 September 2018, 15:30 London Stadium Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
19% 23% 58%
Home win
19.5%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
57.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 19.5% 5.13
Draw 22.6% 4.42
Chelsea 57.9% 1.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.16
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.2% 5.49
Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Over 3.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 3.5 63.1% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.7% 5.07
Under 4.5 80.3% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.7% 1.73
No 42.3% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 42.1% 2.37
West Ham / Chelsea 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Chelsea 80.5% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
8.6
9.2
6.1
3.0
1.2
1
4.4
10.6
9.9
6.6
3.3
1.3
2
2.7
5.4
5.4
3.6
1.8
0.7
3
1.0
1.9
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.3
4
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.