Saturday 15 September 2018, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
73%
19%
8%
Home win
72.9%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
8.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Cardiff | 8.2% | 12.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Cardiff | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Cardiff | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
8.7
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.2
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.7
|
6.2
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|