Saturday 29 September 2018, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
43%
28%
29%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
29.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Leicester | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Leicester | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
8.3
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
13.4
|
7.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
8.8
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
4.1
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Leicester
0-3
Newcastle
Dec 2024
Newcastle
4-0
Leicester
May 2023
Newcastle
0-0
Leicester
Dec 2022
Leicester
0-3
Newcastle
Apr 2022
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2021
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.