Saturday 1 September 2018, 17:00
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
40%
27%
33%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
33.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Fulham | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Brighton / Fulham | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Fulham | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
7.6
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
12.8
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
8.7
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.2
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fulham
2-1
Brighton
Aug 2025
Brighton
1-1
Fulham
Mar 2025
Brighton
2-1
Fulham
Dec 2024
Fulham
3-1
Brighton
Mar 2024
Fulham
3-0
Brighton
Oct 2023
Brighton
1-1
Fulham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.