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Friday 5 October 2018, 22:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
42% 28% 30%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
30.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 42.1% 2.38
Draw 27.8% 3.60
West Ham 30.2% 3.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.38
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.90
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 69.8% 1.43
Brighton / West Ham 72.2% 1.38
Draw / West Ham 57.9% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
8.1
5.1
2.0
0.6
0.1
1
10.0
13.2
7.3
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.6
8.8
5.1
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
3.6
4.2
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.