Saturday 20 October 2018, 17:00
Molineux Stadium
Full time
60%
26%
15%
Home win
59.6%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
14.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Watford | 14.8% | 6.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.9% | 11.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Wolves / Watford | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.2
|
11.7
|
3.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
9.1
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Wolves
4-0
Watford
Sep 2021
Watford
0-2
Wolves
Jan 2020
Watford
2-1
Wolves
Sep 2019
Wolves
2-0
Watford
Apr 2019
Watford
1-2
Wolves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.