Saturday 22 September 2018, 14:30
Craven Cottage
Full time
52%
23%
25%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
24.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Watford | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham / Draw | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Fulham / Watford | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
4.2
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
10.2
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
9.5
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.3
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
3.1
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|