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Saturday 15 September 2018, 17:00 Etihad Stadium Full time
Manchester City
3–0
HT 2–0
Fulham
87% 9% 5%
Home win
86.7%
Draw
8.7%
Away win
4.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 86.7% 1.15 — —
Draw 8.7% 11.52 — —
Fulham 4.7% 21.43 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.8% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 1.2% 85.76 — —
Over 1.5 94.7% 1.06 — —
Under 1.5 5.3% 18.98 — —
Over 2.5 84.1% 1.19 — —
Under 2.5 15.9% 6.29 — —
Over 3.5 68.0% 1.47 — —
Under 3.5 32.0% 3.12 — —
Over 4.5 49.3% 2.03 — —
Under 4.5 50.7% 1.97 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
No 41.7% 2.40 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 95.3% 1.05 — —
Manchester City / Fulham 91.3% 1.10 — —
Draw / Fulham 13.3% 7.49 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.2
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
3.4
3.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
6.8
6.1
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
8.4
7.6
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
7.9
7.1
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
5
5.9
5.3
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Fulham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Manchester City
W W W D W
Fulham
L L W D

Head to head

Feb 2026 Manchester City 3-0 Fulham Dec 2025 Fulham 4-5 Manchester City May 2025 Fulham 0-2 Manchester City Oct 2024 Manchester City 3-2 Fulham May 2024 Fulham 0-4 Manchester City Sep 2023 Manchester City 5-1 Fulham

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.