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Sunday 17 September 2017, 18:00 Old Trafford Full time
53% 28% 18%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
18.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 53.4% 1.87
Draw 28.2% 3.55
Everton 18.4% 5.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.49
Over 1.5 65.3% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.7% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.8% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.52
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.76
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 81.6% 1.23
Manchester United / Everton 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Everton 46.6% 2.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
7.5
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.4
12.7
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
8.7
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.7
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.