Saturday 30 September 2017, 19:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
45%
25%
29%
Home win
45.5%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
29.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Manchester City | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
6.0
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
11.8
|
7.2
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
9.3
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-3
Manchester City
Jan 2026
Manchester City
1-1
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Chelsea
Aug 2024
Chelsea
0-2
Manchester City
Feb 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Chelsea
Nov 2023
Chelsea
4-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.