Tuesday 31 January 2017, 21:45
Liberty Stadium
Full time
34%
28%
38%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
38.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Southampton | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Swansea / Southampton | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
9.3
|
6.8
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.3
|
8.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
7.8
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.3
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.