Wednesday 28 December 2016, 21:45
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
27%
36%
37%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
35.8%
Away win
36.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 8.9% | 11.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.8% | 36.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
| No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Southampton / Tottenham | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
19.6
|
16.5
|
7.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.8
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Tottenham
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2024
Southampton
0-5
Tottenham
Mar 2023
Southampton
3-3
Tottenham
Aug 2022
Tottenham
4-1
Southampton
Feb 2022
Tottenham
2-3
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.