Sunday 22 January 2017, 14:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
44%
30%
26%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Leicester | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.8% | 8.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Southampton / Leicester | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.8
|
9.3
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.8
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.4
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Leicester
2-0
Southampton
Oct 2024
Southampton
2-3
Leicester
Mar 2023
Southampton
1-0
Leicester
Aug 2022
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
May 2022
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.