Sunday 7 October 2018, 18:30
Anfield
Full time
37%
26%
37%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
36.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Manchester City | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
6.9
|
5.6
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.0
|
8.4
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.4
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
4.2
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Manchester City
0-2
Liverpool
Dec 2024
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester City
Mar 2024
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.