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Saturday 20 October 2018, 17:00 Cardiff City Stadium Full time
4–2
HT 2–2
37% 27% 35%
Home win
37.1%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
35.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cardiff 37.1% 2.70
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Fulham 35.5% 2.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.05
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.58
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.54
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.0% 1.82
No 45.0% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cardiff / Draw 64.5% 1.55
Cardiff / Fulham 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Fulham 62.9% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
8.4
6.0
2.6
0.9
0.2
1
8.6
13.1
8.1
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.3
8.3
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.9
3.8
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cardiff goals. Columns: Fulham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.