Sunday 7 October 2018, 14:00
Craven Cottage
Full time
23%
22%
55%
Home win
23.1%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
55.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 28.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham / Draw | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Fulham / Arsenal | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
5.8
|
6.9
|
5.0
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
9.2
|
9.4
|
6.8
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
5.9
|
6.4
|
4.6
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.7
|
2.9
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Arsenal
3-0
Fulham
Oct 2025
Fulham
0-1
Arsenal
Apr 2025
Arsenal
2-1
Fulham
Dec 2024
Fulham
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2023
Fulham
2-1
Arsenal
Aug 2023
Arsenal
2-2
Fulham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.