Sunday 23 September 2018, 18:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
63%
20%
17%
Home win
63.4%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
16.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Everton | 16.9% | 5.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Everton | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
3.0
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.6
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
7.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-0
Everton
Dec 2025
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
Apr 2025
Everton
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
0-0
Everton
May 2024
Arsenal
2-1
Everton
Sep 2023
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.