Saturday 29 September 2018, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
52%
24%
24%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
24.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Fulham | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Everton / Fulham | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Fulham | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
4.8
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
10.9
|
6.4
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
6.1
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Fulham
1-2
Everton
Nov 2025
Everton
2-0
Fulham
May 2025
Fulham
1-3
Everton
Oct 2024
Everton
1-1
Fulham
Jan 2024
Fulham
0-0
Everton
Aug 2023
Everton
0-1
Fulham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.