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Saturday 6 October 2018, 17:00 Wembley Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
88% 9% 3%
Home win
88.2%
Draw
8.8%
Away win
3.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 88.2% 1.13
Draw 8.8% 11.33
Cardiff 3.0% 33.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 38.01
Over 1.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 1.5 11.1% 9.02
Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 3.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 4.5 31.9% 3.14
Under 4.5 68.1% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.9% 2.57
No 61.1% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 97.0% 1.03
Tottenham / Cardiff 91.2% 1.10
Draw / Cardiff 11.8% 8.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
7.5
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
12.4
6.4
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.3
6.9
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
10.7
5.5
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
6.9
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Cardiff goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.