Sunday 30 September 2018, 18:00
Cardiff City Stadium
Full time
27%
31%
41%
Home win
27.3%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
41.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Burnley | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.7% | 6.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff / Draw | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Cardiff / Burnley | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.4
|
14.0
|
8.7
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
14.1
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|