Saturday 3 November 2018, 19:30
Emirates Stadium
Full time
35%
24%
41%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
41.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Liverpool | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
6.0
|
5.6
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
10.8
|
8.7
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
7.9
|
6.7
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
4.1
|
3.5
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
0-0
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
1-0
Arsenal
May 2025
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Oct 2024
Arsenal
2-2
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Liverpool
Dec 2023
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.