Sunday 28 October 2018, 15:30
Selhurst Park
Full time
25%
24%
51%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
50.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Arsenal | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
7.7
|
7.7
|
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.1
|
9.6
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
6.5
|
6.0
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.7
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Crystal Palace
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Arsenal
2-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
1-5
Arsenal
Jan 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Aug 2023
Crystal Palace
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.