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Sunday 21 October 2018, 18:00 Goodison Park Full time
50% 26% 24%
Home win
49.8%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
24.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 49.8% 2.01
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Crystal Palace 24.1% 4.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.22
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.08
Over 2.5 50.1% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.9% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.55
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.45
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.1% 1.88
No 46.9% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 75.9% 1.32
Everton / Crystal Palace 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Crystal Palace 50.2% 1.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
6.6
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
10.4
12.5
6.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
9.0
9.5
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
4.9
5.2
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.0
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.