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Saturday 6 October 2018, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
47% 24% 29%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
28.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 46.9% 2.13
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Everton 28.7% 3.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.12
Over 1.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.3% 5.77
Over 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 3.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 3.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.8% 4.80
Under 4.5 79.2% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.4% 1.60
No 37.6% 2.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 71.3% 1.40
Leicester / Everton 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Everton 53.1% 1.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
5.3
4.0
1.8
0.6
0.2
1
7.1
11.1
7.1
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.9
9.3
6.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.1
5.5
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.8
2.5
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.