Saturday 14 October 2017, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
48%
28%
25%
Home win
47.6%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
24.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| West Ham | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Burnley / West Ham | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / West Ham | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
7.6
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
13.1
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.2
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
4.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Burnley
0-2
West Ham
Nov 2025
West Ham
3-2
Burnley
Mar 2024
West Ham
2-2
Burnley
Nov 2023
Burnley
1-2
West Ham
Apr 2022
West Ham
1-1
Burnley
Dec 2021
Burnley
0-0
West Ham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.