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Saturday 10 September 2016, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
2–4
HT 2–2
31% 43% 26%
Home win
30.9%
Draw
42.8%
Away win
26.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 30.9% 3.23
Draw 42.8% 2.34
Watford 26.3% 3.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 0.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 1.5 35.2% 2.84
Under 1.5 64.8% 1.54
Over 2.5 12.5% 7.99
Under 2.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 3.5 3.6% 28.05
Under 3.5 96.4% 1.04
Over 4.5 0.8% 120.19
Under 4.5 99.2% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 21.5% 4.66
No 78.5% 1.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 73.7% 1.36
West Ham / Watford 57.2% 1.75
Draw / Watford 69.1% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
30.1
16.3
4.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.4
11.6
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
6.2
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
1.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Watford goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.