Sunday 1 January 2017, 15:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
19%
26%
55%
Home win
18.9%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
55.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Watford / Tottenham | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
12.5
|
11.0
|
6.1
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
12.2
|
9.5
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.0
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Watford
0-1
Tottenham
Aug 2021
Tottenham
1-0
Watford
Jan 2020
Watford
0-0
Tottenham
Oct 2019
Tottenham
1-1
Watford
Jan 2019
Tottenham
2-1
Watford
Sep 2018
Watford
2-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.