Tuesday 31 January 2017, 21:45
Turf Moor
Full time
49%
27%
24%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Leicester | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Burnley / Leicester | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
12.8
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.4
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-2
Leicester
Sep 2021
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Mar 2021
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Sep 2020
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Jan 2020
Burnley
2-1
Leicester
Oct 2019
Leicester
2-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.