Saturday 30 September 2017, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
74%
18%
8%
Home win
74.0%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 7.6% | 13.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Crystal Palace | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
8.4
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.7
|
8.5
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
6.0
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.0
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Manchester United
2-1
Crystal Palace
Nov 2025
Crystal Palace
1-2
Manchester United
Feb 2025
Manchester United
0-2
Crystal Palace
Sep 2024
Crystal Palace
0-0
Manchester United
May 2024
Crystal Palace
4-0
Manchester United
Sep 2023
Manchester United
0-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.