Tuesday 13 December 2016, 21:45
Goodison Park
Full time
27%
25%
48%
Home win
27.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
47.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.5% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Everton / Arsenal | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
8.0
|
7.5
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.6
|
11.6
|
9.5
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
6.9
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.9
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-0
Everton
Dec 2025
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
Apr 2025
Everton
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
0-0
Everton
May 2024
Arsenal
2-1
Everton
Sep 2023
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.