Sunday 18 December 2016, 18:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
47%
22%
31%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
31.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.6% | 9.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| No | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Arsenal | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
3.4
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
8.6
|
6.9
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
8.4
|
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
5.8
|
4.9
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
3.0
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Manchester City
2-1
Arsenal
Sep 2025
Arsenal
1-1
Manchester City
Feb 2025
Arsenal
5-1
Manchester City
Sep 2024
Manchester City
2-2
Arsenal
Mar 2024
Manchester City
0-0
Arsenal
Oct 2023
Arsenal
1-0
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.