Saturday 31 December 2016, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
55%
21%
24%
Home win
55.1%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 36.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.4% | 9.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.1% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| No | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Manchester City | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 44.9% | 2.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
2.9
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
8.2
|
5.8
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.9
|
6.7
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
6.8
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.9
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Manchester City
0-2
Liverpool
Dec 2024
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester City
Mar 2024
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.