Sunday 5 November 2017, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
63%
23%
13%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
13.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Malaga | 13.2% | 7.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.1% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Malaga | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
10.9
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.4
|
9.3
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.0
|
5.6
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.