Sunday 15 October 2017, 17:15
Estadi Montilivi
Full time
27%
30%
43%
Home win
27.2%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
42.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.8% | 8.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.5% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona / Draw | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Girona / Villarreal | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.8
|
13.1
|
8.7
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.9
|
8.2
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
6.2
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Girona
1-0
Villarreal
Aug 2025
Villarreal
5-0
Girona
May 2025
Girona
0-1
Villarreal
Dec 2024
Villarreal
2-2
Girona
May 2024
Girona
0-1
Villarreal
Sep 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Girona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.