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Sunday 10 September 2017, 21:45 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
61% 25% 14%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
13.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 61.5% 1.63
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Real Betis 13.8% 7.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.11
Over 1.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.6% 3.26
Over 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.7% 4.60
Under 3.5 78.3% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.70
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.45
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 86.2% 1.16
Villarreal / Real Betis 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Real Betis 38.5% 2.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
5.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
15.1
11.3
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
9.1
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.6
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.