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Sunday 20 August 2017, 21:15 Camp Nou Full time
88% 8% 4%
Home win
88.2%
Draw
8.1%
Away win
3.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona 88.2% 1.13
Draw 8.1% 12.28
Real Betis 3.7% 27.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.5% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.5% 68.73
Over 1.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 1.5 6.5% 15.30
Over 2.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 2.5 18.8% 5.33
Over 3.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 3.5 36.3% 2.75
Over 4.5 44.5% 2.25
Under 4.5 55.5% 1.80

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona / Draw 96.3% 1.04
Barcelona / Real Betis 91.9% 1.09
Draw / Real Betis 11.8% 8.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
4.4
3.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
2
8.3
6.2
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.1
7.5
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
9.1
6.8
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
6.7
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Barcelona goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.