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Saturday 29 April 2017, 21:45 RCDE Stadium Full time
0–3
HT 0–0
19% 22% 59%
Home win
19.4%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
58.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 19.4% 5.15
Draw 21.8% 4.60
Barcelona 58.8% 1.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.36
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.24
Over 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.1% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.7% 4.41
Under 4.5 77.3% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.3% 1.66
No 39.7% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 41.2% 2.43
Espanyol / Barcelona 78.2% 1.28
Draw / Barcelona 80.6% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
7.7
8.6
6.0
3.2
1.3
1
3.9
9.9
9.8
6.9
3.6
1.5
2
2.5
5.3
5.6
3.9
2.1
0.9
3
1.0
2.0
2.1
1.5
0.8
0.3
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.