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Saturday 22 April 2017, 21:45 RCDE Stadium Full time
25% 30% 45%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
45.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 25.1% 3.99
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Atletico Madrid 45.4% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.79
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.93
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 54.6% 1.83
Espanyol / Atletico Madrid 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Atletico Madrid 74.9% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
13.3
9.3
4.1
1.4
0.4
1
8.9
13.7
8.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
4.5
5.9
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
1.4
1.8
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.