Tuesday 4 April 2017, 20:30
San Mamés
Full time
43%
29%
28%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
27.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Espanyol | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
9.1
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.8
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.5
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Espanyol
2-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
1-2
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Club
Oct 2024
Athletic Club
4-1
Espanyol
Apr 2023
Espanyol
1-2
Athletic Club
Sep 2022
Athletic Club
0-1
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.