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Friday 10 March 2017, 21:45 RCDE Stadium Full time
48% 27% 25%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
24.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 48.4% 2.06
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Las Palmas 24.7% 4.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.20
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.83
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.81
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.21
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 75.3% 1.33
Espanyol / Las Palmas 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Las Palmas 51.6% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
7.1
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
10.9
12.8
6.3
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
9.0
9.4
4.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
4.7
4.9
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
1.8
1.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.