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Sunday 5 March 2017, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
5–2
HT 1–2
66% 20% 15%
Home win
65.9%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
14.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 65.9% 1.52
Draw 19.6% 5.10
Osasuna 14.5% 6.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.48
Over 1.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.5% 6.43
Over 2.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.3% 2.76
Over 3.5 41.6% 2.40
Under 3.5 58.4% 1.71
Over 4.5 23.5% 4.26
Under 4.5 76.5% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.2% 1.75
No 42.8% 2.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 85.5% 1.17
Las Palmas / Osasuna 80.4% 1.24
Draw / Osasuna 34.1% 2.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
3.2
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
8.1
9.1
4.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
9.8
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.5
7.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
4.3
4.3
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
2.0
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Osasuna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.