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Sunday 12 February 2017, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
29% 23% 47%
Home win
29.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
47.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 29.4% 3.40
Draw 23.3% 4.29
Sevilla 47.3% 2.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.37
Over 1.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.2% 7.03
Over 2.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.2% 2.93
Over 3.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 3.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 4.5 74.6% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.4% 1.51
No 33.6% 2.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 52.7% 1.90
Las Palmas / Sevilla 76.7% 1.30
Draw / Sevilla 70.6% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
5.9
6.2
3.9
1.9
0.7
1
4.4
10.1
9.1
5.8
2.8
1.1
2
3.7
7.0
6.7
4.3
2.1
0.8
3
1.8
3.5
3.3
2.1
1.0
0.4
4
0.7
1.3
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.